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Is a New Intifada Right around the Corner?

November 25, 2022

by: Avi Issascharoff ~ Ynetnews

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The remains of an Israeli bus after a Palestinian bomb exploded during the Second Intifada

Friday, 25 November 2022 | The twin bomb attacks in Jerusalem that killed Aryeh Schupak and injured 26 others Wednesday morning. The snatching of Druze Israeli teen Tiran Fero’s body from a hospital in Jenin by Palestinian militants [returned to Israel Thursday morning]. The shootout between Israeli forces and Palestinian gunmen that killed a 16-year-old Palestinian teen around the Nablus area overnight Wednesday. These all are saying what voices in the Israeli defense establishment and the Palestinians have been warning about for months: we are on the precipice of an even greater escalation in the Israeli–Palestinian conflict.

Even if one considers the Nablus shootout and the rampage of armed terrorists in Jenin, the twin blasts in Jerusalem remind us that we are probably in the middle of something completely different from what we have come to know in recent years.

The number of shooting incidents and warnings about serious attacks by lone-wolf terrorists or terror groups is only expected to rise to levels we haven’t seen over the past decade and a half and may remind us of the horrors of the Second Intifada [uprising].

This, perhaps, is not an intifada since it lacks a popular motive, but this is a clear trend of violence that is only expected to escalate in view of several significant processes that are taking place in the region, both on the Palestinian and the Israeli side.

The Palestinian Authority’s [PA’s] power is eroding and its future is far from certain. It is led by 87-year-old President Mahmoud Abbas, who also leads a disjointed faction, and it is not clear what will happen to it after his departure.

Moreover, it is not at all certain that the PA will be able to function, regardless of President Abbas, as senior members of the emerging Israeli government are calling to disband it.

It is worth noting that one of the main factors keeping the violence level between West Bank [Judea and Samaria] Palestinians and Israel at a relative minimum over the past decade and a half were the PA and its security apparatus. But it’s becoming increasingly unclear how motivated this is apparatus to maintain peace in the territories.

Of course, it is impossible to ignore the fact that the incoming Israeli government is the most extreme to date.

These two trends, coupled with 140 Palestinians killed in security incidents this year, only add fuel to the fire that leads to violence against Israeli targets.

This alone is evident from the numbers. Since the beginning of 2022, 30 Israelis have been murdered in attacks. Another 330 shooting attacks were foiled, and 34 bombing attacks and two suicide bombings have been foiled throughout Israel and the West Bank. The number of alerts for terrorist attacks is also very high, and unfortunately, it is too early to wrap up this year.

We can only hope the Jerusalem attacks are not a harbinger of things to come. This well-organized attack differs from spontaneous lone-wolf attacks and perhaps indicates the existence of a terror network that probably also operates with the assistance of Israeli Arab citizens from eastern Jerusalem.

Placing an explosive load at a crowded bus stop at the entrance to the city and another load not far away also indicates the perpetrators were familiar with the area.

And at the same time, since it is probably a more organized network, which could have connections abroad and in Gaza, it may be more exposed and can be busted relatively quickly.

The Shin Bet [Israeli internal security organization] and IDF’s [Israel Defense Forces] expertise in cracking down on such networks is the only thing separating today’s reality from the horrors of 20 years ago.

Posted on November 25, 2022

Source: (Excerpt from an article originally published by Ynetnews on November 24, 2022. Time-related language has been modified to reflect our publication today. See original article at this link.)

Photo Credit: Zvika Golan (צביקה גולן)/IDF Spokesperson's Unit/commons.wikimedia.org

Photo License: Wikimedia

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